The USA is in a political battle over the price of oil with OPEC and right now they are winning, but how low can they go? Not too much lower actually, they need to start buying again to ensure their strategic reserves remain useful and not at risk of dropping below the requried levels to support the country in times of emergency.
OPEC $64 - To ensure OPEC break even on oil product, they will control the market above
SPR $72 - To replenish the reserves the USA is a buyer at $67 - $72 a barrel, not too far from where we are now
EU $70 - The EU are in talks to ensure Russian oil cannot be sold above $70
Pin Bar $77 - We have a bin bar rejection to support the market move North again
Fib 78.6% - We've rejected this level 7 times on the weekly and daily chart
Target 1 - We've already tested and profited from this move upto $82 and we'll be doing that again
Target 2 - Fib 61.8% at 88 will be our next target
Target 3 - Fib 50% at 92 will be our final target
Short - If we break down past 77, we'll be a buyer just below at the SPR support levels.