1. Massive Base Breakout (Multi-Year Accumulation)
RBLX spent 2+ years in a tight range ($23–$51), forming a strong accumulation base. Breakouts from multi-year bases often result in multi-month uptrends, not just quick pops — this could be wave 1 of a new bull cycle. The overshoot above the measured move ($79–$82) can suggest strong institutional accumulation, not just retail FOMO.
2. Momentum Is Strong, Not Weak (Yet)
RSI at 81.33 is overbought, yes — but in bull markets, RSI can stay overbought for weeks. MACD still has positive momentum — no crossover yet. It’s flattening, but not bearish. This might be early in the momentum cycle, not the end — especially if a small consolidation fuels the next leg.
3. Sentiment Flip – From Dead Money to Growth Revival
Roblox went from being a forgotten COVID bubble stock to surprising with user metrics, engagement, and monetization. Analysts and funds may be re-rating the business model as more durable and scalable — narrative shift = sustained interest. This explains the volume surge at breakout and the lack of immediate selling even at overbought levels.
4. Short Squeeze / FOMO Acceleration
After years of underperformance, some shorts are still in the name. Breakout + volume + lack of sellers = short squeeze + FOMO-led extension. If this extends, $100 psychological target is in reach.
5. Fib Extension Zone
If you apply a Fibonacci extension from the base, next levels are:
1.618 extension ≈ $92–$95
2.0 extension ≈ $100
Bullish Continuation Setup
Minor pullback or sideways chop (RSI cools)
Followed by strong volume + breakout over $90
Confirmed by MACD holding trend and RSI avoiding sharp revers
RBLX spent 2+ years in a tight range ($23–$51), forming a strong accumulation base. Breakouts from multi-year bases often result in multi-month uptrends, not just quick pops — this could be wave 1 of a new bull cycle. The overshoot above the measured move ($79–$82) can suggest strong institutional accumulation, not just retail FOMO.
2. Momentum Is Strong, Not Weak (Yet)
RSI at 81.33 is overbought, yes — but in bull markets, RSI can stay overbought for weeks. MACD still has positive momentum — no crossover yet. It’s flattening, but not bearish. This might be early in the momentum cycle, not the end — especially if a small consolidation fuels the next leg.
3. Sentiment Flip – From Dead Money to Growth Revival
Roblox went from being a forgotten COVID bubble stock to surprising with user metrics, engagement, and monetization. Analysts and funds may be re-rating the business model as more durable and scalable — narrative shift = sustained interest. This explains the volume surge at breakout and the lack of immediate selling even at overbought levels.
4. Short Squeeze / FOMO Acceleration
After years of underperformance, some shorts are still in the name. Breakout + volume + lack of sellers = short squeeze + FOMO-led extension. If this extends, $100 psychological target is in reach.
5. Fib Extension Zone
If you apply a Fibonacci extension from the base, next levels are:
1.618 extension ≈ $92–$95
2.0 extension ≈ $100
Bullish Continuation Setup
Minor pullback or sideways chop (RSI cools)
Followed by strong volume + breakout over $90
Confirmed by MACD holding trend and RSI avoiding sharp revers
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