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High Probability but Poor Risk to Reward Ratio

已更新

This is my trading journal, not a trade recommendation. Idea presented only for educational purposes for me and others who want to benefit from my experience.

Risk to reward ratio is poor, but probability is very high.

DISCLAIMER:
Trading in the stocks market or futures markets is on e of the riskiest forms of investments available in the financial markets and suitable for sophisticated individuals and institutions. The possibility exists that you could sustain a substantial loss of funds and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Nothing in this analysis is a recommendation to buy or sell stocks or futures and I shall not be liable for any loss or damage, including without limitation, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of this analysis or reliance on such information. Consult your financial advisor prior to investing is stock market.
This is one person’s experience, your experience may differ. Past performance is not guarantee of future gains.

註釋

On Daily looks good time to take long positional trade

註釋

On weekly scale

註釋

Range breakout looks difficult as of now, will see future outlook as market progress

註釋

Trade not activated, Idea invalidated. Need to find new trade location

註釋

Compression going on, big move coming.

註釋

Will look at price action at 2330

交易進行

Long @ 2330

註釋

Reaction to Action awaited in next few sessions, may see it at supply zone

交易結束：達到停損點

註釋

Looks like breakdown of structure, but need confirmation or more information prior to deciding further. on inclined lines, still it is higher high and close to double bottom formation. Possibility of spring formation can not be ruled out.

註釋

As of now in oversold zone, looks like action reaction set is over and market should react from white line. if white downward inclined line is broken down, may go till red downward inclined, but for that extreme oversold level from present level need extreme bad new from world market. Otherwise in normal course of time market should react from here.

註釋

No change

註釋

ignore Banknifty update given here

註釋

On weekly

註釋

On weekly it is test of breakdown

註釋

Failure of breakdown on weekly can turn into exponential rise. As of now no sign of failure on weekly; on daily it is test only, but clear sign of demand shifting upwards, on 75 min breakout from green channel is visible. breakdown on 75 can lead to vigorous down move in green channel, at the same time failure of breakdown on weekly can lead to comparatively more vigorous up move. Can a trade plan be formulated on shorter time frame?

註釋

Magenta line and cyan lie are entry and stop loss level if breakout upwards sustains on 75 min otherwise vice versa if breakout fails in green channel.