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$SLV $PSLV $GME 2: Infinity Squeeze

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- Gamma squeeze of silver and silver futures is possible.
- Key is that the supply of underlying is only a fraction of the future contracts being traded.
- If enough contracts are physically settled, there will not be enough underlying, and this will squeeze the price.
- In essence, the silver market will be cornered.
- Up against JPM & co. Tough competition.

I like the stock

PT: 75
SL: None

“We choose to go to the moon, not because it is easy, but because it is hard." -JFK

評論

The thing I love about this play is that it is also a hedge against a market crash

評論

- If this plays out, many institutions will be forced to liquidate to cover. This could do some serious damage to the market.
- Even more will pile on due to fear of a market collapse.
- I will accumulate physical silver as well in that case.

評論

My play:
- I will be buying April SLV calls 50c
- if it begins to move, I will add higher OTM strike calls to build a gamma ramp
- I will buy underlying shares of SLV, PSLV and physical silver
- I will buy small positions in complementary plays: AG, SVM, FSM to benefit further
- I will buy UVXY calls

評論

We are the Black Swan event

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Key industrial demand for silver:
- EV
- Health
- Tech hardware

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This is not trading advice. This is what I am going to do.

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More notes:
- Silver has been manipulated for nearly 100 years
- true value of silver with adjusted for inflation is $1000
- Gold and silver are the only commodities in which the paper value reflects the price of the underlying commodity
- They have been accumulating for 100 years
- The Hunt brothers had already performed this same play in the past, but the banks did not learn their lesson
- Through fake sell orders (shadow contracts), the banks have $2 billion in naked shorts on the physical market, and $70 billion on the paper market
- All fronts must be hit, physical, futures, etfs, options
- For a $1 rise in silver, $200 million worth of short positions are liquidated
- After $50, the gamma squeeze begins, the gamma ramp should be built above 50
- At $480, JP Morgan's full position of naked shorts are liquidated
- At $480, JP MORGAN IS LIQUIDATED
- At $480, JP MORGAN IS LIQUIDATED

評論

The main attacks at our disposal is:

- Physical silver - dealers are already sold out, but this means nothing. They can claim to be "sold out" and have a stockpile in anticipation of the squeeze. They are simply not selling it to you.

- SLV shares - according to SLV prospectus, when SLV issues shares, they are forced to true up their vaults with the proportional amount daily - however, there are concerns about their integrity, be prepared for legal/media actions

- SLV calls - holding to expiry and exercising will force shorted shares to be bought back to sell to the calls should a squeeze occur

- SLV OTM calls - buying far OTM strike calls forces the Market Maker's algorithms to "gamma hedge", buying the underlying asset to hedge risk for the OTM calls. A steady ramp is better than a large wall of interest at a specific strike

- Silver futures - this is where some whales could really turn the tide - the COMEX vaults only contains 1 ounce of silver for 100-500 ounces traded via futures - the principle purpose of the future contracts is to actually deliver the underlying commodity, but because of traders settling with cash, the futures market has become 500x leveraged - Once physical silver becomes scarce, and more future contracts are settled for physical delivery, the demand will overwhelm the supply. SILVER FUTURES ARE 500x LEVERAGED!

- Miners - this doesn't actually do anything, but this is a way you can take profits without touching the SLV shares until the victory has been achieved.

The key is:
- Silver is necessary in industry, notably in the EV market and tech hardware.
- Investors will rush into silver in economic unrest, due to GME, corporate fraud and stimulus, further eroding USD. Rising interest rates are INEVITABLE.
- SILVER FUTURES ARE 500x LEVERAGED!
- JP Morgan is heavily in short positions, and for a $1 rise in silver, $200 million worth of short positions are liquidated
- At $480, JP Morgan's full position of naked shorts are liquidated
- This is 3-pronged offensive - Short Squeeze, Gamma Squeeze, Cornering the Market.
- After seeing GME, it is clear that they will lie, spread FUD, use level-headed fake allies to try to dissuade us, distract us, say that it is over when it is not, break the law and laugh about it on national television.
- After 100 years of manipulation, over 90% of gold, and a significant amount of silver has been accumulated by the institutions. While they print worthless paper money, true wealth has been robbed from us. Who will help us against this manipulation?

SHOULD a $480 price be achieved. There will be severe consequences to the market. Plan accordingly.

評論

Update:
- There is a lot of misinfo and FUD spreading.
- Firstly: GME and only GME should be focused on until the squeeze has been squoze.
- There are concerns that this SLV play is a distraction from the GME play to one that is easily controlled by JPM and Citadel. This is FUD.
- SLV is ran by JP Morgan themselves, and there is a concern that there is no proven metal, and only a few big banks have access, delivery for 500k ounces only for big banks, and can pay cash only in case of a default. This is a legitimate concern.

HOWEVER, the whole point of this squeeze is to force them to PHYSICALLY DELIVER ON A SILVER RALLY ON UNDERLYING ASSETS THAT THEY DO NOT POSSESS! THIS IS THE REAL SQUEEZE! DO NOT BE DISTRACTED. DO NOT FALL PREY TO DISINFORMATION.

IF you are looking to ride this wave, these two are good candidates:
- PSLV is run by a Eric Sprott, a billionaire silver bull and banker-killer is fully audited and backed, and will deliver. The only downside is that there are no options for gamma squeezing.
- AG (First Majestic Silver) is the best mining company to buy here. The bankers are trying to punish CEO Keith Neumeyer, who refuses to supply the COMEX. This company may be a good candidate for the next GME.
- Many are advocating that it is impossible to squeeze a commodity - however, see the 2010-2011 short squeeze of silver (JP Morgan was short at the time as well):

評論

Pumping secondary targets like PSLV or AG may raise silver prices, but think WHO OWNS THE SILVER? WHO IS IT HELPING?
What is the goal here? Pump silver by 50% and let JPM dump?
NO! The goal is to LIQUIDATE JPM's SHORT POSITIONS AND SQUEEZE TO 1000

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Update:
- It seems that JPM is covering their short positions already. Yes, JPM is custodian of SLV, but it means little, as SLV is managed by Blackrock. This is not a huge concern.
- They may be allowing this to rally a bit to divert attention from their GME position, and drop the hammer once the GME squeeze has ended.
- The goal remains to short squeeze, if it becomes more profitable for JPM to indeed reverse their position, they could become our greatest ally against the Big 8.

評論

SLV remains the main target.
- Physical and COMEX futures, especially settling for delivery of futures is damaging
- However, the ENDGAME is to perform a gamma squeeze + short squeeze like what we are witnessing with GME on SLV, ONCE the silver market is cornered.
- PSLV is a closed-end fund and while Sprott will deliver, they do NOT need to buy more silver to replenish their vault.
- SLV must. While they are most at risk for fraud, the price MUST follow the spot price, and as demand rises, they MUST issue more shares to keep up with demand.
- The mechanism in which they issue shares is such that they MUST BUY more underlying shares proportional to the ETF.
- While they are expected to be fraudulent, we already know that there IS NOT ENOUGH SILVER IN THE VAULT.
- You can settle for delivery with SLV if you hold 50k shares.
- When the prices of silver rises from the COMEX and physical short squeeze, the FAANG and EV companies that need it will be forced to settle for delivery either at SLV, or at their subcustodians, causing a ripple effect.
- Eventually, if enough shareholders settle for delivery, they CANNOT DELIVER because they DO NOT HAVE ENOUGH SILVER IN THE VAULT.
- Then the ETF price must decouple from the spot price. This is when the gamma squeeze can occur. Rapidly raising the price of the ETF.
- As long as shareholders do not sell, and hold, like we are witnessing with GME, this can squeeze INFINITELY. THIS IS THE ENDGAME. THIS IS THE SQUEEZE. NOT PSLV, NOT AG.
- They are a major bank, directly linked to the FEDERAL RESERVE, they MUST DELIVER.
- Silver bulls have been waiting for decades for this moment.
- The system traps us in an endless rat race with circumstances that already doom us. Debt based fractional reserve fiat currency enslavement system. They exist to profit off of us, not help us. Creating booms and busts w interest rates destroying families livelihoods
- It can all be undone if we win.

評論

TLDR:
Playbook:

Part 1 - Reducing Supply, Increasing Demand / Cornering the Market:
- Physical
- COMEX futures settling for delivery

Part 2 - Gamma Squeeze:
- SLV far OTM calls

Part 3 - Short Squeeze:
- SLV, PSLV shares, HOLD while they struggle to meet industrial demand

Part 4 - Destroying the Fraud, Infinite Squeeze (ENDGAME):
- Settle SLV shares for delivery once spot prices rises to critical levels, decouple the ETF price from spot price

評論

The Final Phase - Liquidation of the ETF:
- Closure of SLV
- Bear thesis: shareholders would be forced to sell at a time not of their choosing. Game Over.
- Bull thesis: shareholders hold and squeeze the ETF shares and control the price as they please, physical, miners, and PSLV shares have skyrocketed.

評論

I have continued this Idea in the comments below

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