The original thesis revolved round a complete paradigm shift in the way Americans shop. The brick and mortar retail industry is in the crosshairs of a complete disruption. It is now an online driven retail economy. As mall retailers falter left and right, rents per square feet will suffer drastically which strikes at the center of
SPG's revenue with share holders ultimately paying the price in losses. Anchor stores are dropping and the impact to REITs is undeniable. Much has been written about
SPG strong balance sheet, but it all boils down to revenue. I could care less how strong your balance sheet is, if money coming in is less than the year before... you're at a loss. If you invested 100 million developing a mall property in 2017, and in 2020 that properties valuation is worth less... you're at a loss on paper. You can try and ride it out if you paid cash, but it's a hell of a difference when your LTV's are in excess of 70%
The mall bubble has burst, rents are dropping, CAP rates will explode, CRE will collapse.
The mall bubble has burst, rents are dropping, CAP rates will explode, CRE will collapse.
註釋
And then there is COVID-19 and the screeching halt to community gathering相關出版品
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。