SPX's study since 80s, SP X& 10Y relation Code is "Decoded"

2021年3月23日

Since the 80s every time we get a spike in US10Y Bonds SPX got a correction with a
minimum of 20% and maximum of 57 % the question is where & when. Therefore,
looking back to all the data available on Tradingview since 80s to 2021 we have
measure the spike's percentage of all > 20% and the distance from the Golden Crosses & Death
Crosses and showed the crash percentage as results of that. Surprisingly the weekly
Golden Cross are 50-50 chance not the normal with indicators so the results are shown
not plotted for the weekly. As for the daily all the work is plotted on the chart for
your reference. Feel free to print, share, redistribute and publish this study for the
benefit of any one out there. How to read the table below, just follow the steps:

1. Fist percentage is the gain of US10Y from the last reasonable low.
2. Second percentage is the % of the actual crashes.
3. The distance between the Gold Cross & the peak of the crash it self.
4. G.C = Golden Cross. D.C Death Cross

244 % up So far- ???? so far
144% up -20%- 305D G.C
59 % up -20%-70D G.C
70% up -57%- 20D D.C
64 % up -50%- 363D G.C
(-24% Down) -22% -357D D.C xxx.
18% up -20%-78D G.C
28% up -36%- 130D G.C
43% up- -27%- 53D G.C
3 G. Crosses Vs 4 D. Crosses "Irrelevant weekly"
6 G. Crosses Vs 2 D. Crosses " 75% G. Cross "
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The actual study is here " Just click the picture"

2021年4月8日

註釋

We've passed April first, nothing happen here !!! September & November is next.