Which Way do we go?

SPX #s&p500
A Best Case
B Mid Case
C Bad Case
D Worse Case
Lost 3900 We get the fed next week.
Earnings soon, no October meeting. Uncredible fed will fail to hike rates to match inflation they will try hard to keep rates low inflation could continue into December.
November brings a token hike or even a pause causing market to pop.
Russia fails to deliver Gas to EU, escalations rise, china continues lockdowns and gets more provocative with Taiwan. Earnings warnings continue and start to miss estimates. Recession deepens.
Just some different views on which way we could go, hopefully we avoid C and D.
Which way do you think we go, and Why?

First time using the ghost patterns so those are just for illustrative purposes SPX