A look at the S&P 500 Chart (weekly and daily charts)

2020年3月10日

Will the orange 200 weekly SMA hold?
If the index dips below this historical support, it will mark the start of the next recession as it did in 2008.

Daily Chart:

2020年3月10日

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Historically, after plunging below the orange 200 weekly SMA (WMA), the index will attempt to try for a retest of the 200 WMA but fail, before dropping significantly lower.

2020年3月10日

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Also looking at the last chart above, the ichicloud on the weekly chart turned bearish, marking the start of the bear market.

Presently, the Ichicloud still remains bullish (for now).

2020年3月11日

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Possible target if the 200 weekly SMA fails to hold as support.

2020年3月11日

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i.e. the 50% Fib regtrace level which has confluence with a significant support level.

or maybe even the 61.8% Fib retrace level in a more severe recession or even a depression.

2020年3月12日

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However, we are (at the very least) now in a mini-recession:

A full blown recession/depression hasn’t been confirmed yet.

2020年3月12日

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I.e. The Index did not pierce below the 200 weekly MA (below) even though it did the 200 daily MA (above) in 2015; unlike in 2008 where it pierces below the 200 sMA on the weekly chart of the index.

2020年3月12日

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Apologies, accidentally posted the same daily chart again and TV lacks the simple option to delete accidental posting of updates within a set time limit sadly. :(
Here is the weekly chart just mentioned.

2020年3月12日

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Recession confirmed if this candle closes below the 200 weekly SMA. And it probably will.



PRISM Acceleration/Jerk ribbon continues to plunge lower.
Won't see a turnaround anytime soon.

2020年3月12日

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=======================
Fundamentally, the bubble have already gotten wayyy too big -- Obama, instead of fixing the underlying problem, allowed the issue to continue by bailing out the broken banking system (taking tax payer's money to feed the welfare system for the big corporations and the mega wealthy -- where the CEOs and corporate executives had continued to shamelessly pay themselves massive bonuses and pay-cheques after collapsing the economy, while cutting jobs and pay for the middle class staffs; and after that, Trump continue to feed the bubble into the monstrosity it is today (with debt that needs to be paid back sooner or later).

Trumps's answer to the crazy US debt? "Easy we can just print more money".

2020年3月13日

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Same story with the DJI

2020年3月13日

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Market structure destroyed by massive (black swan) fundamental move. TA will not work anymore, for now, until the structure resets -- i.e. need to wait for the market to settle down and stabilize at the new level (whichever it may be), then a new market structure can emerge for TA.

Might fall even deeper into a full blown depression, some analysts were saying.

"Blood on the streets.."

2020年3月13日

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2020年3月13日

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50/200 SMA Death Cross on the Daily Chart incoming.

2020年3月15日

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Fib retrace levels and support to monitor:

2020年3月16日

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