After midterm elections, 12 month period is higher since WW2.
Strongest and surest rallies occur Nov-Apr.
quantifiableedges.com/this-incredibly-bullish-seasonal-period-has-just-begun

After 2 years of joined power and the incumbent losing the house in the midterm election, chances are high, that there is a bear market coming within a year.
Beyond Technical AnalysiscycleEconomic Cycleselection

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