S&P 500 Update – April 20, 2025
We’re still in a confirmed weekly downtrend (though we have paused our decline), and the daily chart is showing signs of indecision. The sharp bounce on April 9 created a large green candle, and price action since then has been stuck inside that day’s range, forming inside bars and signaling continued indecision.
Key Points:
This is a tough environment for swing traders. There’s opportunity on lower timeframes, but without clear direction, larger trades carry more risk. Stay patient, watch for a break in either direction, and keep size light if you choose to participate.
We’re still in a confirmed weekly downtrend (though we have paused our decline), and the daily chart is showing signs of indecision. The sharp bounce on April 9 created a large green candle, and price action since then has been stuck inside that day’s range, forming inside bars and signaling continued indecision.
Key Points:
- Trendlines: We remain under multiple downtrend lines (drawn from both the weekly and daily timeframes), as well as all major moving averages.
- Resistance: The April 9 high around 5458 has now been rejected twice.
- Support: We’re currently holding above the short-term uptrend line off the April 7 pivot near 5265. Buyers have defended this level for several days in a row.
- Neutral Zone: Until we break below this rising trendline or reclaim the EMAs and downtrend lines, this remains a choppy, sideways range.
This is a tough environment for swing traders. There’s opportunity on lower timeframes, but without clear direction, larger trades carry more risk. Stay patient, watch for a break in either direction, and keep size light if you choose to participate.
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