Will the S&P 500 break out or break down as the Federal Reserve meeting approaches next week? Today we’re looking at two charts to help navigate the coming sessions.

First is the daily chart with RSI and the 10-day simple moving average (SMA). A certain pattern has appeared at least four times in the last year. It involves the index languishing after a drop but holding its ground. RSI gradually stabilizes and makes a higher low as prices move through the 10-day SMA. Each instance was followed by squeezes to the upside.

The same behavior could be occurring now as SPX remains above the key 3910 level cited last week. If true, the timeline could match up closely with the central bank meeting on Wednesday, September 21.

The second chart shows the S&P 500 E-mini Futures (continuous contract) with four-hour bars. Notice how the converging lines form a triangle into the Fed meeting. That could also suggest the index is squeezing before a potential move.
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