A walkthrough different levels on the S&P for the short term (1-2 weeks).
The S&P broke above a key weekly downtrend line this past week, shifting the structure slightly more bullish in the short term. We’re now testing an important resistance zone with multiple possible scenarios ahead.
Scenarios for the Week Ahead:
Bullish:
If the S&P holds above the breakout zone (5484) and continues climbing, we could see a move toward 5,650 (near the declining 50SMA). Some minor pauses or consolidations could occur at moving averages, but overall momentum would remain constructive if buyers stay active.
Bearish:
If the S&P fails to hold above 5,484 and breaks back below the uptrend line, we could see a pullback toward (in this order) 10 and 20 EMAs, recent uptrend line, or at most the key level around 5,264. A deeper breakdown seems less likely unless broader selling pressure returns.
Neutral: Think this would be a chop between where it is at now and 5650.
The S&P broke above a key weekly downtrend line this past week, shifting the structure slightly more bullish in the short term. We’re now testing an important resistance zone with multiple possible scenarios ahead.
Scenarios for the Week Ahead:
Bullish:
If the S&P holds above the breakout zone (5484) and continues climbing, we could see a move toward 5,650 (near the declining 50SMA). Some minor pauses or consolidations could occur at moving averages, but overall momentum would remain constructive if buyers stay active.
Bearish:
If the S&P fails to hold above 5,484 and breaks back below the uptrend line, we could see a pullback toward (in this order) 10 and 20 EMAs, recent uptrend line, or at most the key level around 5,264. A deeper breakdown seems less likely unless broader selling pressure returns.
Neutral: Think this would be a chop between where it is at now and 5650.
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