SPX Roadmap Sep 2017
已更新
Resolution time window
註釋
Consensus speculative positioning/hedging finally bullishest of the year. Good precondition註釋
Seems the triangle is a bit different but effect is same註釋
Bears have capitulated across variety of metrics. Price action needs to confirm still註釋
Very risky waters here註釋
More and more likely action from mid June to end Aug is triangle Wave 4, so then currently should be some Wave 5 of lower degree註釋
FED announced QT to begin Oct 2017. Just let me do a simple analogy: In 2014, FED stopped QE in Oct 2014, US Eco peaked in 1Q15 and SPX topped out in May/July 2015. Now, FED starts QT, US Eco is still accelerating but let's say it peaks in late 2017/early 2018, then SPX makes a major top in May 2018 at around 2700?註釋
Will be interesting to see whether algos will raise SPX higher into 2520s by Q end (it is quarter end next week). I will be surprised if not, seems it is Wave 5 of 5 of 3註釋
Toiling, toiling for marginal/meaningless new highs, but time consuming註釋
As expected, higher high into Q end
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