SPY (S&P 500 ETF) – Fibonacci Reversal + Bullish Continuation Se

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This chart highlights a potential retracement zone before a major continuation leg to the upside, based on Fibonacci levels and price structure.

📊 Technical Breakdown
Current Price: $589.39

Recent High: $595.54 (Fibonacci 1.0)

Key Fibonacci Levels:

0.618 → $562.28 (First retracement target)

0.5 → $555.57

0.382 → $547.38

Critical Support: $552.15 (confluence with historical demand & fib zone)

Projected Target (1.382 Fib Extension): $629.02

🧠 Probabilistic Interpretation
🔻 Short-term pullback toward $552.15 = 60% probability based on multiple rejections from 0.886/1.0 Fib zones.

🔼 Continuation to $629.02 = 70% probability if price finds support at golden ratio (0.618) or 0.5 zone.

🧠 Structure favors smart money re-accumulation after engineered liquidity grab.

🌐 Macro Context (as of May 31, 2025)
Fed Watch: Market pricing in 70% chance of no rate cut in June. July data will be crucial.

VIX: Suppressed, but starting to rise—indicative of market hedging short-term volatility.

Earnings season: Mixed signals—AI sector outperforms while cyclicals lag.

🚨 Trade Plan for Professionals
Watch for price action near $555–552.

Enter long upon bullish engulfing or SMC confirmation at demand zone.

First TP: $595.50
Final TP: $628.80–$629.02

SL: Below $541.72 (Fib 0.382)

🧠 Final Note
This chart reflects a classic Fibonacci retracement & extension structure that institutional traders often monitor. Aligns with DSS and WaverVanir’s discretionary outlook.

#SPY #SMP500 #FibLevels #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #WaverVanir #TechnicalAnalysis #FibonacciTrading #TradingView

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