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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 28, 2025

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🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:

🇺🇸📊 Core PCE Inflation Data Release: The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for February is set to be released. Economists anticipate a 0.3% month-over-month increase and a 2.5% year-over-year growth, aligning with previous figures. As the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, this data could influence monetary policy decisions.​

🇺🇸🛍️ Consumer Spending and Income Reports: February's personal income and spending reports are due, with forecasts indicating a 0.4% rise in personal income and a 0.5% increase in personal spending. These figures will provide insights into consumer behavior and economic momentum.​

🇺🇸🏠 Pending Home Sales Data: The Pending Home Sales Index for February is scheduled for release, with expectations of a 2.0% increase, following a 1.0% rise in January. This index offers a forward-looking perspective on housing market activity.​

📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, March 28:

💵 Personal Income (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +0.4%​
Previous: +0.9%
Measures the change in income received from all sources by consumers.​

🛍️ Personal Spending (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +0.5%​
Previous: -0.2%​
Tracks the change in the value of spending by consumers.​

📈 PCE Price Index (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +0.3% month-over-month; +2.5% year-over-year​
Previous: +0.3% month-over-month; +2.5% year-over-year​
Reflects changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.​

🏠 Pending Home Sales Index (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: +2.0%​
Previous: +1.0%​
Indicates the number of homes under contract to be sold but still awaiting the closing transaction.​

⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​

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