Unified Global Charting III: Time

From the GFC in 08/9 we can observe a circa 4 year cycle for TLT (high to high)

In this idea i plan to turn our attention to time

I have used the fibonacci time (trend based) tool to further subdivide this

Let's see what else time/cycle analysis can tell us about goverment bonds

G.R.I. Dec '21

評論:

Here i want to mainly consider the white major trendlines and white major time intervals

評論:

TLT has made a major high every 3-4 years

評論:

It also makes a major low every 3-4 years

評論:

so we had major lows circa 2010/2014/2017

評論:

However, the 2017 low failed and we had to wait 18 months for it to resume a new uptrend which we could have predicted with a modified pitchfork

評論:

評論:

The last TLT cycle ran from mid 2016 till the corona drop

評論:

Accordingly the next cycle should run to a high in 2023

評論:

Is the cycle low IN for TLT- i believe so but we can't rule out one more low , time-wise...