Unified Global Charting III: Time

2021年12月19日

From the GFC in 08/9 we can observe a circa 4 year cycle for TLT (high to high)

In this idea i plan to turn our attention to time

I have used the fibonacci time (trend based) tool to further subdivide this

Let's see what else time/cycle analysis can tell us about goverment bonds

G.R.I. Dec '21

2021年12月19日

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Here i want to mainly consider the white major trendlines and white major time intervals

2021年12月19日

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TLT has made a major high every 3-4 years

2021年12月19日

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It also makes a major low every 3-4 years

2021年12月19日

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so we had major lows circa 2010/2014/2017

2021年12月19日

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However, the 2017 low failed and we had to wait 18 months for it to resume a new uptrend which we could have predicted with a modified pitchfork

2021年12月19日

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2021年12月19日

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The last TLT cycle ran from mid 2016 till the corona drop

2021年12月19日

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Accordingly the next cycle should run to a high in 2023

2021年12月19日

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Is the cycle low IN for TLT- i believe so but we can't rule out one more low , time-wise...