TOTAL LONG TERM ANALYSIS

In my analysis, the FED’s interest rate decision and how liquidity will shape as a result will determine the future of the market. I believe the likelihood of a FED rate cut will increase in the next meeting. However, I expect a period of stability in the market before the meeting. In other words, I think this will lead the market into an accumulation phase within its zigzag structure, preparing for a breakout.

I expect that the FED rate cut expectations will strengthen by the time of the next meeting, and initially, the market will react with the "buy the rumor, sell the news" behavior. That is, such news is usually priced in first, followed by a sell-off. However, once the news is confirmed, the market will experience a short-term pullback. This could be the final "shakeout" phase.

When the market starts an upward rally, it will not want to carry the "small investors" and "some institutional players" on its back. In the market, leveraged positions will be liquidated, and then the rally will begin with real demand. Those who use high leverage should pay attention to what I am saying.

I cannot overlook the manipulation factor. In such phases, as liquidity increases, a manipulation period occurs. Afterward, weak investors are shaken out, and real buyers start to dominate the market.

Considering the price target in the chart (values between 2.17T and 3T), I expect a strong upward movement after manipulation. However, I believe investors should be cautious, taking volatility into account.