US10Y - Will We See Lower Rates Going Into The Future

3月10日

This week was a waterfall.

Next week will be the week of short seller payback!

A continuation of yields trading @ CE; 4.046%, even sweeping Sellside liquidity @ 4.038% is still a possibility but for the past 4 days, the sentiment is more weighted to the downside rather than the upside, with the lowest displacement NWOG being my last line of defence @ 4.024%.

Going into next weeks trading, we can see that there are many relative equal highs and short term highs that have many buy stops placed above them.

My bet is smart money will look to target those buy stops. Just how far they are willing to reprice to will be something to analyse over the days next week.

My philosophy is simple...

Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go.

This includes;

- Market Structure
- Buyside/Sellside Liquidity
- Order Blocks
- Liquidity Voids
- Fair Value Gaps
- Optimal Trade Entry
- Premium/Discount Array
- SIBI/BISI
- Many More!

The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated.

Credits;

- Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE
- Shawn Lee POWELL
- Toray KORTAN

3月16日

交易結束：目標達成

Throughout the whole of this week, i have been fighting food poisoning with today being the day i was admitted into hospital hence the reason for a delayed update to all of the asset pairs analysed for this weeks trading. But this does not mean abandonment!

Waiting my turn in the hospital has really infuriated me, mostly due to the realisation that i am nothing but a number to these people and that's how it will always be IF i don't get off my ass and do something about it!

This post-analysis MUST BE DONE THIS WEEK, EVEN IF THIS KILLS ME FIRST!

With that being said, going into this trading week, i was expecting a strong bullish rally to and through the 4.137% EQ with the main target being an attack on the daily bullish order block located in a premium between 4.170% - 4.190%.

Based on my analysis, anything in addition to the move into the premium array is considered a 'cherry on top' and we saw this materialise on Wednesday.

With that on a lookout, i was confident Bonds would sell-off as Yields and Bonds tend to work in tandem with each other; one going up with the other going down.

4.320% is the highs US10Y managed to close at for this week which decimated my initial target of the 4.170% - 4.190% OB.