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US 10Y TREASURY: has finally topped?

TVC:US10Y   美國政府債券10年期收益
It was a sort of game of nerves during the previous week, watching the US 10Y yields reach the level of 5%. This occurred for the first time after 2007, but the difference on charts was that no one was sure whether yields would stop at this level. It was such a strong push to the upside, after Fed Chair Powell's speech at the Economic Club of New York on Thursday. Although he said nothing new with respect to potential further rising of interest rates or inflation, still, the markets did not want to hear that jobs and economic growth need to suffer in order to bring the inflation down to 2%. Adding to it the developments within the Middle East crisis, the perfect storm occurred with US Treasuries.

Friday`s trading session brought some ease in 10Y Treasury yields, so they finished the week at the level of 4.91%. In case that they continue to ease in the week ahead, then the level of 4.80 might be the next stop for yields. However, in the case of any potential negative news which might bring yields to the higher grounds from 5%, it would certainly not be at all a good sign for the future prospectus for the US economy.

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