Mongoose Capital: Macro Dashboard – US500 Fed & Recession Watch

Overview:
The Mongoose Capital Macro Dashboard offers a high-level view of key macroeconomic metrics driving market sentiment. Designed for the US500 (S&P 500 index), this tool tracks the interplay between Federal Reserve policy expectations, recession risk signals, and overall macro conditions in a clean, multi-panel layout.

Key Features:

FFR Cut Probability: Real-time assessment of Federal Reserve rate cut odds.

Macro Conditions Score: Composite indicator showing the alignment of liquidity, inflation, labor market health, credit spreads, yield curve status, and global growth.

Recession Risk Gauge: Aggregated recession probability, with dynamic background shading to reflect rising or falling risk.

Yield Curve & Credit Spreads: Plots to monitor inversion trends and credit market health.

Macro Event Markers: Highlights key events like CPI and FOMC meetings.

How to Use:

Optimized for the US500 on the 1D or 1W timeframe.

Use the Macro Conditions Score and FFR Cut Probability as a context filter for your trade setups.

Watch for Recession Score shifts (3/5 or higher) to flag caution zones.

Best Practice:
This dashboard is built for situational awareness, not as a direct buy/sell signal. Combine with technical analysis for trade execution.

Example Chart Setup:

US500 1D / 1W chart

Apply as an overlay to maintain macro visibility alongside price action.

Built by TheRealMongoose / Mongoose Capital.