Investors betting on de-escalation in trade tension| FX Research

Investors come into the new week with some hope that we will see a de-escalation in trade tension. US tariffs on Mexico and Canada are scheduled to go into effect tomorrow, though there have been indications that there is good reason to believe it won't be the 25% tariffs that President Trump had said initially.

Risk assets have responded accordingly, with the US dollar off across the board except against the yen, and US equity futures pointing up. The euro has gotten an added boost after inflation data came out hotter than expected. The ECB is expected to cut rates later this week, but the inflation data could influence a less dovish policy stance from the ECB.

Looking ahead, we get Canada manufacturing PMIs, US ISM manufacturing, construction spending, and some Fed speak.

Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger