Market is in a Downtrend which started around 9th of March at a price of 1.29
On 28th of March price made a Low @ 1.24600
After the Low we have a conspicuous bullish candle with a big bullish wick --> What does that mean? --> First Bullish Attempt to move the price higher --> Loose in the first place, but... --> Sellers probably felt first feeling of unsureness --> Sellers looking to cash out their position --> Price moves higher
Market moved lower and made an Exhaustion Candle --> What does that mean? --> Now the Buyers win --> Stop Hunting is also imaginable
Price moved up and made a Fractal
It moved down and it is the first Higher Low since the beginning of the Downtrend --> Buyers accept a higher price for this pair --> First sign of Trend Change --> Downtrend was LHs and LLs, now we have a LHs and HL --> weaker
The price even broke the Level of the Fractal Resistance recently
Target:
On the higher TF, we have this picture:
--> TP should not be too far away
Aggressive Area: Between "Area of Control" and 50.0% Fib' Level
Conservative Area: Between 50.0% and 38.2% Fibonacci Level
After the Target, we expect a Down-Movement due to the situation on the higher TF.
If you have any questions, another Point of View or anything else to share, don't hesitate to comment!