USDCAD passed the SMA100 - short

FX:USDCAD   美元 / 加元
USDCAD entered shot-term downtrend which is part of medium-term downtrend. I really like to play that kind of situations, because I know, that I have bigger chance of winning at that trade and even if I made wrong decision at shor-term trend analysis, I sometimes would be able to exit position with profit.
I guess we are somewhere at the 1/3 of short-term downtrend inside of channel, and the chart just passed SMA50 and SMA100 which is good news for us. I'm not fan of technical analysis , but guys that use it at trading could see HnS formation which, as far as I know, means trend reversal.
If I should guess, I would tell that our price on monday will go little up - maybe somewhere near SMA50 or SMA100, and then continue short-term downtrend to finally reach bottom of channel.
Of course situation in Syria create a need to watch all pairs with USD closely and briefly react and adapt to new circumstances.
評論: On Monday I will watch how price behave and replan this trade. Right now it looks quite good, but if chart will go up with possibility to go to top boarder of channel I will definitely close shorts and reopen from channel top.
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