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USDCAD: Key corrective break lower indicating further downside

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Technical Insights

- USDCAD has now impulsively broken the daily corrective structure indicating further downside pending a clear continuation pattern confirming the structural break.
- On the lower timeframes we anticipate a pullback albeit minor given the larger correction prior.
- Price action appears similar to the May 17 bearish impulsive leg down and will be using this as a tool to monitor similarities in the move. Currently, the initial waves are almost identical in shape and timing.

Fundamental/Macro Insights

- Structurally weaker USD, recent Fed commentary surrounding GDP and rate hike revisions
- CAD reaping benefit of anticipated monetary policy easing and further rate hikes in 2019
- Rebound and forecasts for WTI/Brent Oil fuelling bullish CAD bias

Targets

- Target profit zones include the base of the larger ascending channel structure and the subsequent low of the HTF correction.

Bias

- Bearish structurally to target profit zones

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