USD/CHF: wave analysis

The pair may fall.

On the 4-hour chart, an upward correction of the higher level developed as the second wave ii of 1, and the formation of the third wave iii of 1 started. Now, the first wave (i) of iii has formed as a diagonal, and the local correction (ii) of iii has ended. If the assumption is correct, the pair will fall to the levels of 0.9717–0.9656. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 0.9980.

Main scenario

Short positions will become relevant during the correction, below the level of 0.9980 with the targets at 0.9717–0.9656. Implementation period: 7 days and more.

Alternative scenario

The breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 0.9980 will let the pair grow to the levels of 1.0121–1.0230.

Scenario

Timeframe Weekly
Recommendation SELL
Entry Point 0.9906
Take Profit 0.9717, 0.9656
Stop Loss 0.9980
Key Levels 0.9656, 0.9717, 0.9980, 1.0121, 1.0230

Alternative scenario

Recommendation BUY STOP
Entry Point 0.9985
Take Profit 1.0121, 1.0230
Stop Loss 0.9925
Key Levels 0.9656, 0.9717, 0.9980, 1.0121, 1.0230