BitonGroup

USDCHF (US Dollars/Swiss Franc) Currencies Analysis 26/04/2022

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FX:USDCHF   美元 / 瑞士法郎
Fundamental Analysis:


NUMBER OF TRADERS NET-SHORT HAS INCREASED BY 5.22% FROM LAST WEEK.

SYMBOL TRADING BIAS NET-LONG% NET-SHORT% CHANGE IN LONGS CHANGE IN SHORTS CHANGE IN OI

USD/CHF BEARISH 49.71% 50.29% 4.44% Daily -10.07% Weekly 15.93% Daily 5.22% Weekly 9.92% Daily -2.98% Weekly

USD/CHF: Retail trader data shows 49.71% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.01 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Mar 18 when USD/CHF traded near 0.93, price has moved 2.82% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 4.44% higher than yesterday and 10.07% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 15.93% higher than yesterday and 5.22% higher from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests USD/CHF prices may continue to rise.

Our data shows traders are now net-short USD/CHF for the first time since Mar 18, 2022 when USD/CHF traded near 0.93. Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger USD/CHF-bullish contrarian trading bias.




Technical Analysis:

We can clearly see that the Bearish Divergence of Price and MACD has Started Forming in 6H time frame and it is one of the biggest signs that the bullish Trend is reversing and we can see some Price Correction on this Forex Instrument.
we have defined 3 Targets using the Fibonacci Retracement Tools which we have forecasted the Price to fall.
please check the Forecast
交易結束:目標達成:
target achieved but the indicator shows fail

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