USD/JPY is down nearly 10% from its January 2025 highs at 157, now trading just above the 140 threshold. The currency pair is testing the base of a 10-year rising wedge, and its recent failure to reclaim support at 148.83 is concerning.
Structural Breakdown: If 140 is lost, the potential downside opens to 135, 132, and 127. The last time this pair broke similar structural levels was in 2016–2017, during a major dollar correction.
Macro Pressure: A hawkish BoJ and collapsing US yields are reversing the carry trade. Demand for the Yen as a haven asset is rising amid volatility and equity losses.
Structural Breakdown: If 140 is lost, the potential downside opens to 135, 132, and 127. The last time this pair broke similar structural levels was in 2016–2017, during a major dollar correction.
Macro Pressure: A hawkish BoJ and collapsing US yields are reversing the carry trade. Demand for the Yen as a haven asset is rising amid volatility and equity losses.
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