美元 / 日圓
看多

USDJPY Structural Analysis : Breakout Demand Play + Target

116
🗺️ Market Structure & Key Technical Zones
On the USDJPY 4-hour timeframe, the market is clearly respecting smart money levels and giving us an ideal case study of institutional demand, trend continuation, and liquidity engineering.

🔰 1. Major Support Zone (142.500 – 143.200):
This zone acted as a high-value area where price consolidated previously before rallying. It has been tested multiple times and each touch has led to a strong bullish reaction, indicating accumulation by large players.

Think of this zone as the market’s base camp — when price visits it, big money steps in to reload longs.

🔰 2. Channel Formation & Breakout:
A clean bullish channel formed mid-June, with price respecting both bounds while gradually climbing. Once the channel was broken with strong volume (noted by the breakout candle), it suggested a shift from controlled bullish flow to an impulsive move — a change in pace that often indicates smart money is active.

🧱 Institutional Concepts in Action
🔵 QFL (Quick Flip Level):
This area marks a prior consolidation or sideways action that gets aggressively broken. In this chart, price dipped to a QFL zone then sharply reversed — suggesting a trap for early shorts and a liquidity grab before moving up. A classic “manipulation → accumulation → expansion” sequence.

🟦 Breaker Demand (BR Demand):
This is where previous resistance has flipped into new support. Breaker blocks are extremely important in identifying where institutions may re-enter positions. Price respected this area before continuing higher — confirming bullish control.

Price tapped into this BR demand, showed low-wick rejections, and moved strongly, signaling confidence from large orders.

📊 Volume Burst Zone (~147.2–147.7):
This zone has historically seen high volume and sudden price acceleration. Price is re-approaching it now. This is where a lot of pending orders and take-profits are likely clustered — expect strong reactions here.

📈 Current Price Action
Price is climbing along a clean bullish trendline, reinforcing current momentum.

Price has broken previous structure highs and is now making higher highs and higher lows — a textbook bullish trend.

Buyers are in control as long as the price continues to respect:

The bullish trendline

The BR demand zone (~145.5)

🔮 Projection & Potential Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Continuation Case:
If current momentum holds, the price is likely to push toward the Next Reversal Zone (148.500–149.000).

This zone aligns with multiple confluences:

Fibonacci extension targets

Previous high liquidity trap zone

Potential institutional profit-taking level

Expect this zone to cause a reversal or deep pullback.

🔴 Bearish Breakdown Case:
If price breaks below the BR Demand Zone and closes under the trendline, expect a drop back toward the Central Zone (~144.8–145.0), or even deeper into the Major Support Zone.

This would shift market structure back to neutral or bearish depending on volume and rejection patterns.

📌 Summary:
✅ Bias: Bullish

🎯 Short-Term Target: 147.5 (volume burst area)

🧱 Key Support: 145.50 (breaker demand)

❗ Trendline Break = Red Flag

🏁 Final Reversal Zone: 148.500–149.000

💬 Final Thoughts
This chart is a brilliant example of smart money accumulation and market engineering. USDJPY continues to respect well-defined zones, presenting high-probability opportunities for traders who understand structure and patience.

This setup is NOT about chasing price — it's about following the footprints of volume, breakout structure, and institutional intent. Stick to the plan and manage risk around key invalidation zones.

免責聲明

這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。