USDJPY Outlook 2/21

Overall bearish outlook on UJ, if structure gives short term buy signals, there may be buy opportunity early next week into continued sells.

註釋

UJ Long Idea

Expectiing price to return to novice zone after breaking strucuture. smaller timeframe has shifted externally and internally.

Risks:
Small timeframe buy in a higher timeframe bearish trend.
Entry is at asia low liquidity (however asia highs and lows appear protected for JPY pairs)

Profit target is the asia high within novice zone

註釋

Trade active. 2/21 is a US bank holiday. low volume.

註釋

Added to position with tight stop due to shifts on 1 minute timeframe.

註釋

Initial positions stopped out at mitigated SL. re-entered with tight SL

註釋

Last try on UJ idea. Do not like how many times i re-entered this trade. next time just let original entry and risk play.

註釋

UJ shifted externally off POI. Watching for internal shift, most likely will be bullish during Asia session.

Risks: There is an imbalance void below this POI, idea is that price will clear upside liquidity before filling it, however price could chose to clear this instead.

註釋

UJ short idea

Structure fulfilled
POI fulfilled (RTO)
Liquidity fulfilled
Protocol fulfilled

Trade justified

交易進行

Trade active

交易進行

1st TP hit

註釋

Price is ranging, SL moved to above structure.

交易結束：達到停損點

Nothing lost here as you hit prop trading challenge profit goals.

However SL placed prematurely. Wait for a mitigation and a break of structure before placing stoploss. Your first take profit is what gives you the leeway to let price breathe.

Trust in your analysis until it is invalidated.