Mexican standoff

USD/MXN has been in a range since early December but I think its getting ready to breakout to the downside. As long as price stays below 20.0000, I could see a move all the way down to 18.5000 near the pre covid lows. I think the FED has been clear about its policy and any reflation should positive for the peso. The move in crude oil should also be a tailwind.