🛒 V2 Retail Ltd: CnH Breakout Setup
Entry: ₹2,002.85
Stop Loss (SL): ₹1,687 (on closing basis; -15.77%)
Target:
🎯 Positional Target: ₹2,323 (+15.98%)
🚀 Why this trade?
Chart Pattern: Clear Cup and Handle (CnH) breakout with the stock trading in an ascending channel.
Trend Confirmation: The stock is maintaining its position above key Daily Moving Averages (DMAs), confirming strength in the uptrend.
Sectoral Tailwind: Budget 2025 brings a positive outlook for the consumption and FMCG sector, supporting this trade's fundamentals.
Volume: Increasing, but it still needs improvement to strengthen the breakout signal.
⚠️ Key Observations and Risks:
Resistance Ahead: The channel top may act as resistance, so price action near these levels should be watched carefully.
Market Context: Broader market trends are weak, making this a counter-trend trade that adds an element of risk.
Volume Concerns: Volume is yet to fully confirm a breakout; a retest is possible.
📚 Educational Insights:
Channel Tops as Resistance: In ascending channels, the upper boundary often acts as dynamic resistance; breakout strength depends on volume.
Risk Management: With a wide stop loss (closing basis), position sizing becomes critical to limit exposure.
This is a positional trade, so short-term fluctuations shouldn’t influence decisions prematurely.
✅ Suggested Approach:
Take small positions initially to minimize risk while testing the market.
Monitor volume and sector strength for additional confirmation.
Avoid over-leveraging in trades with broad SLs, especially in counter-trend setups.
📈💡 "Adapt to market behavior, but always trade with discipline and patience."
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Always manage your risk and trade responsibly.
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