Treasury Announces Marketable Borrowing Estimates

WASHINGTON – The U.S. Department of the Treasury today announced its current estimates of privately-held net marketable borrowing[1] for the October – December 2024 and January – March 2025 quarters.

During the October – December 2024 quarter, Treasury expects to borrow $546 billion in privately-held net marketable debt, assuming an end-of-December cash balance of $700 billion. [2],[3] The borrowing estimate is $19 billion lower than announced in July 2024, largely due to a higher beginning-of-quarter cash balance partially offset by lower net cash flows.

During the January – March 2025 quarter, Treasury expects to borrow $823 billion in privately-held net marketable debt, assuming an end-of-March cash balance of $850 billion.[4]
During the July – September 2024 quarter, Treasury borrowed $762 billion in privately-held net marketable debt and ended the quarter with a cash balance of $886 billion. In July 2024, Treasury estimated borrowing of $740 billion and assumed an end-of-September cash balance of $850 billion. Privately-held net marketable borrowing was $22 billion higher largely because of a $36 billion higher ending cash balance partially offset by higher net cash flows.
註釋
Bloomberg:高盛集团表示,美国货币市场本周正走向一种日益普遍的月末仪式:随着华尔街银行吸收大量新国债,隔夜贷款利率大幅(尽管短暂)上涨。

周四即将达成的创纪录的拍卖和解协议将从银行中抽走大量现金,同时银行也在增加资本持有量以满足监管要求,从而可能减少通过隔夜回购协议自由借出的金额。
Beyond Technical Analysis

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