A Perfect Storm for Oil Has Begun
The start of April triggered a brutal selloff in oil, and it's only the beginning. Here’s why:
🛑 Global Trade Wars
On April 2nd, Trump launched a full-scale trade war. New tariffs could reach 23% — the highest in a century. China, the world’s largest oil importer, now faces 145% tariffs. Global trade slowdown = weaker demand for oil. Result? Oil dropped 10% in just 2 days — one of the worst drops in history.
📉 US at Risk Too
Goldman Sachs raised recession odds from 15% to 35%. Atlanta FED sees weakening GDP. The whole world slows down — and so does oil demand.
🛢️ OPEC Surprise Output Hike
OPEC+ has started increasing output — over 2.2 million barrels per day in 2025. The April hike alone was supposed to be 138,000 bpd, but turned out to be 411,000 bpd — triple the forecast. This is a MAJOR bearish shock to the market.
Flashback: Spring 2020 — OPEC raised output during an economic crisis. Oil dropped 65%.
The start of April triggered a brutal selloff in oil, and it's only the beginning. Here’s why:
🛑 Global Trade Wars
On April 2nd, Trump launched a full-scale trade war. New tariffs could reach 23% — the highest in a century. China, the world’s largest oil importer, now faces 145% tariffs. Global trade slowdown = weaker demand for oil. Result? Oil dropped 10% in just 2 days — one of the worst drops in history.
📉 US at Risk Too
Goldman Sachs raised recession odds from 15% to 35%. Atlanta FED sees weakening GDP. The whole world slows down — and so does oil demand.
🛢️ OPEC Surprise Output Hike
OPEC+ has started increasing output — over 2.2 million barrels per day in 2025. The April hike alone was supposed to be 138,000 bpd, but turned out to be 411,000 bpd — triple the forecast. This is a MAJOR bearish shock to the market.
Flashback: Spring 2020 — OPEC raised output during an economic crisis. Oil dropped 65%.
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免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。