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Silver (XAGUSD) Structural Analysis : Curve break & Target

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Silver is exhibiting a textbook bullish continuation pattern, guided by a parabolic curve structure that reflects intensifying buyer momentum. This unique setup provides a high-probability trading roadmap as we approach a major reversal zone—one where smart money may look to offload long positions or enter fresh shorts.

This analysis aims to help traders anticipate the likely path of XAGUSD based on structure, liquidity behavior, and trend psychology.

🔍 Key Structural Observations:
1. Black Mind Curve Support (Dynamic Bullish Structure)
This parabolic arc acts as dynamic support. Every bounce from the curve shows growing strength in buyer conviction.

The price is riding the curve upward with higher lows, signaling accumulation with momentum.

This is not a standard trendline but rather a curve reflecting the accelerated nature of this uptrend.

2. Aggressive Bullish Momentum
The recent price behavior has shown strong impulsive candles to the upside followed by shallow corrections, confirming bullish dominance.

Volume and candle size increase near the curve, suggesting institutional interest.

3. Reversal Zone: 37.20 – 37.45
Marked as the Next Reversal Zone, this green box represents a key supply area where previous swing highs exist.

Historically, price struggled to break this region cleanly, making it a high-probability reaction zone.

Expect either:

a bearish rejection (short-term correction), or

a consolidation before a breakout continuation.

4. Liquidity Pool & Needed Volume Zone (~35.20 – 35.50)
The market often revisits zones of untapped liquidity. This area likely holds:

Buy-side stop losses

Unfilled institutional orders

If the market needs a deeper retracement, this is the zone to watch for re-accumulation.

🧠 Market Psychology Behind This Setup:
This structure suggests a classic case of smart money accumulation, with price moving upward in a controlled yet aggressive fashion. The parabolic nature of the move points to:

Increasing retail buy-ins

FOMO-driven entries

Possible engineered sweep before the next impulse

The reversal zone could become a profit-taking area for institutions. If large players want to continue higher, they may first induce a pullback to absorb more volume at lower prices (near the curve or liquidity zone).

🔧 Tactical Playbook for Traders:
For Bulls (Long Bias):

Watch for pullbacks toward the curve or liquidity zone.

Enter long positions on bullish confirmation (e.g., engulfing candles, pin bars) off those zones.

Targets: 37.20 – 37.45, possibly higher if broken with strength.

For Bears (Countertrend Traders):

Wait for clear rejection patterns in the reversal zone.

Use confirmation like RSI divergence, momentum slowdown, or distribution volume.

Target: Curve support or deeper liquidity zone for reentry.

📌 Key Technical Levels:
Zone Price Range Description
Reversal Zone 37.20 – 37.45 Resistance / Take-Profit Area
Curve Support Dynamic (rising) Support based on parabolic arc
Liquidity Pool 35.20 – 35.50 High-volume demand zone

🧭 Conclusion
Silver is currently in a momentum-driven phase supported by smart money activity. The parabolic structure and clean liquidity map give traders a clear plan to engage both long and short setups with timing and precision. Patience around the reversal zone will be key, as the next major move may depend on how price behaves in this critical area.

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