📊 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) – Daily Timeframe
🔁 Overall Market Structure:
Since early 2025, the market has been in a strong bullish trend, followed by a few mid-term corrections.
A new all-time high was reached around $3,500.
After the peak, the price entered a sideways/consolidation phase, currently ranging between $3,360 and $3,460.
🔄 Key Structural Observations:
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Changes of Character (CHoCH) can be seen near the top, especially after reaching the all-time high.
The market currently shows indecision, with no clear dominance from bulls or bears.
📉 Current Price Status:
Price is currently around $3,336 and moving within a consolidation zone.
This behavior suggests accumulation and could precede a major breakout—either bullish or bearish.
🎯 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
Condition Clear breakout above ~$3,460 with strong bullish confirmation
Targets TP1: $3,500 (previous high), TP2: $3,550+ in extended move
Stop Loss Below breakout level or back inside the range (~$3,430)
This scenario becomes valid if the market shows strong bullish continuation after breakout.
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
Condition Bearish breakout below ~$3,330 with strong bearish candle
Targets TP1: $3,250 / TP2: $3,120
Stop Loss Above the broken range (~$3,360–$3,370)
If this setup activates, a deeper correction could follow.
⚠️ Important Note:
The market is currently consolidating, so trading heavily in the middle of the range is risky.
It's safer to wait for a clear breakout with confirmation before entering a position.
📌 Summary:
Gold is consolidating after a strong uptrend.
A breakout from this range will likely determine the next major direction.
Wait for confirmation before taking any trade based on the breakout.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This analysis reflects my personal view of the market.
Please do your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions, and manage your risk carefully.
🔁 Overall Market Structure:
Since early 2025, the market has been in a strong bullish trend, followed by a few mid-term corrections.
A new all-time high was reached around $3,500.
After the peak, the price entered a sideways/consolidation phase, currently ranging between $3,360 and $3,460.
🔄 Key Structural Observations:
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Changes of Character (CHoCH) can be seen near the top, especially after reaching the all-time high.
The market currently shows indecision, with no clear dominance from bulls or bears.
📉 Current Price Status:
Price is currently around $3,336 and moving within a consolidation zone.
This behavior suggests accumulation and could precede a major breakout—either bullish or bearish.
🎯 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
Condition Clear breakout above ~$3,460 with strong bullish confirmation
Targets TP1: $3,500 (previous high), TP2: $3,550+ in extended move
Stop Loss Below breakout level or back inside the range (~$3,430)
This scenario becomes valid if the market shows strong bullish continuation after breakout.
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
Condition Bearish breakout below ~$3,330 with strong bearish candle
Targets TP1: $3,250 / TP2: $3,120
Stop Loss Above the broken range (~$3,360–$3,370)
If this setup activates, a deeper correction could follow.
⚠️ Important Note:
The market is currently consolidating, so trading heavily in the middle of the range is risky.
It's safer to wait for a clear breakout with confirmation before entering a position.
📌 Summary:
Gold is consolidating after a strong uptrend.
A breakout from this range will likely determine the next major direction.
Wait for confirmation before taking any trade based on the breakout.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This analysis reflects my personal view of the market.
Please do your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions, and manage your risk carefully.
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