Gold Price Analysis October 11

Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices eased from a three-day high and traded around $2,640 in early European trade on Friday, still up more than 0.40% on the day. A rise in US weekly jobless claims pointed to signs of weakness in the labour market and will allow the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates further. This, in turn, triggered a slight decline in US Treasury yields, which, coupled with softer risk sentiment, helped the non-yielding yellow metal gain positive traction for a second straight day.

Investors, meanwhile, have fully priced in the possibility of an excessive rate cut by the Fed in November following the release of stronger-than-expected US consumer inflation figures on Thursday. In turn, this helped the US Dollar (USD) halt the previous day's downside correction from its highest level since mid-August and act as a drag on Gold prices. Traders are now looking to the US Producer Price Index (PPI), the Michigan Preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index and Inflation Expectations, and the Fedspeak for short-term momentum.

Technical Analysis
2650 remains an important psychological port if gold pushes down before PPI, this zone can still be SELL today. The market is sideways around 2640 waiting for PPI promising a big volatile day today with the upper limit around 2658-2660 as the market watches the news and the US session pushes forward. In the support zone, scalping breakout is believed to be around 2628 and the important point today 2620 is still the breakout zone.

SELL 2658-2660 Stoploss 2665
BUY 2620-2618 Stoploss 2615