黃金現貨 / 美元
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Empire of dollar is crashing

9 764

In the gold market, the most commonly extended wave is wave 5. IMHO this chart most accurately gives a path.

Chart pattern on weekly. I really like using higher time frames.


DXY ( U.S. Dollar Index)


Bearish is . . .
交易進行
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$ 2100
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We will see!
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Short term:

No comment

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Medium-term:

This market needs a correction (no new bad news!)

Wave c = 123.6% of wave a

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交易進行
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Gold- update

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We will see

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Gold- energy never lies

I am out

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good luck
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Gold- Energy never lies


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Gold- Update

Target = $ 2200

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Gold

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Gold- Wave C > 0.618 of Wave B
Target = $ 2200

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Gold

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Gold

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Gold- they are scrambling

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Gold Pump- Dump !

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This can only mean one thing:

This Is the End
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Gold

Pump- Dump

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Gold Pump-Dump!

Did they run out of money?

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Gold - This Is the End


2012 (-45%)

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Gold- Update

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-6.70%

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Gold- it's a trap

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For Sale :)

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Gold- Biden

a neutral signal to the market

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Gold- Update


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Gold

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Gold- I am still in cash & will not buy


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good luck
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It's your last chance

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Gold- it could turn into a bloodbath


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No reason to cut


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Gold- Who drew this?

Bull?

No!


The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)

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Who drew this?

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DXY (bullish) <-------> gold (Bullish) 👌 👏

Powell 👏 👏
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Gold- it could turn into a bloodbath

Update

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Gold- no reason to cut



Fed:

DEC 13 2023 ---> three cuts coming in 2024

MAY 25 2024 ---> Fed probably won’t be delivering any interest rate cuts this summer

JUN 12 2024 ---> only one cut coming this year



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For the same reason


no reason to cut

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Gold rises with U.S rate cut optimism

A failed breakout = a bloodbath
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Gold

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Gold


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Expect a Fed rate cut in September ...
Fed rate cuts could start in July ...
only one cut coming this year ...
Fed rate cuts, Fed rate cuts, Fed rate cuts ...

*****

The news is now positive

But

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Why? :)
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Gold- History repeats itself

again

$1 trillion crash

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Gold- History repeats itself

2013 ---- > $1 trillion crash

2024 ---- > $ 1.5 trillion crash
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$ 1 000 000 000 000 crash

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Gold- Update

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Gold- Update

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Gold

-1.76%

the market doesn't react!


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Gold-

A failed breakout = a bloodbath ;)


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Gold- Bearish

Wave C > 161.8% of wave A

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Gold-

Target 1 = $ 2407 (11 hours ago, Comment)
Target 2 = $ 2391
Target 3 = $ 2363

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Gold- Honesty is a very expensive gift

Yesterday you posted Gold long, today you say ----> short (the difference between me and you!)


(Warren Buffett) The first rule of an investment -----> Never Lose Money

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Gold- MACD (4h)----> extremely bearish :)


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Gold- what is going on?

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Gold-

Target 1 = $ 2407 ;)

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Gold- Update

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Target 2 = $ 2391


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Revision 1 ;)

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Gold- Update

Target 1 = $ 2407 (it did)
Target 2 = $ 2391
Target 3 = $ 2363

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Gold- Update

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Gold- Update


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Gold- Target 2 reached ;)

Target 1 = $ 2407 (it did)
Target 2 = $ 2391 (it did)
Target 3 = $ 2363

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Gold- Jul 16, Comment:

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Update:

-4%

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Gold- watch out

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good luck
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Gold- watch out


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Gold- The bulls are strong but ...

:)

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Gold- Update


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Gold- we will see :)

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Gold- Bear flag

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Gold-phony wave


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Gold- Sep 2011

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gold

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Gold- a false breakout (Bearish)


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Gold - phony wave

we will see

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Gold- Update

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Jul 18, Comment

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Gold- What comes next?

Target 1 = $ 2333

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Gold- Update (Jul 21)


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Gold- Target 3 reached

Target 1 = $ 2407 (it did)
Target 2 = $ 2391 (it did)
Target 3 = $ 2363 (it did)


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Gold (4 hours ago) - Short ($ 2370)

Target 1 = $ 2333
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Gold- Update

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Gold- medium term (sell signal)

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Gold- medium term ($ 2370, sell signal)


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Gold- Jun 8, 2023, ( $ 1946 ----> $ 2445 )

Fed seen holding rates steady in July

why?

here's why

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yes

prices hit another record high

prices hit another record high


Gold:

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I do me you do you, so, I will not even try to bother explaining your falsely ...

so long and goodbye
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Trader asked:

"Does it mean to buy gold? I don't understand. Please help"


My reply:

a- a lot of technical traders will sell
b-What does "So Long" mean? a warm way to say farewell (so long = goodbye)

;)
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Jul 17, Comment:

Gold- no reason to cut


Fed:

DEC 13 2023 ---> three cuts coming in 2024

MAY 25 2024 ---> Fed probably won’t be delivering any interest rate cuts this summer

JUN 12 2024 ---> only one cut coming this year

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Gold- Fed Holds Interest Rates Unchanged

Unchanged
Unchanged
Unchanged :)))


you can not find a reason to try


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Jul 17, Comment: Gold- no reason to cut

I was right
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:D

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good luck :)
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Gold

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Fed rate-cut hopes = dead wood

But
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(what concerns me is ...)


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Gold-


a full-scale war = Democrats will lose the White House
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Gold

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the answer is yes
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Gold- I see two possibilities


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Volatility S&P 500 Index

+47%

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It's so dangerous to short Gold right now

It's so dangerous to long Gold right now
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Trader asked:

According to this drop, is 2600 or 2520 possible or has the drop started?


My reply:

There's no war yet

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Gold

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Gold

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b- Plan B (if there is a war)

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Gold- Biden says he hopes .... but "I don't know"

***

I will be unavailable until Aug 9, 2024


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Gold (investors await Iran's response to ...)


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Gold- Platz der Republik is a square in Berlin


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Gold-

"Ukraine (US, Germany, European Union) enters new phase of war", we are all aware of this important fact!


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This ain't good, this ain't good at all, this can only mean one thing:

Russia could use nuclear weapons


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Gold-

(July 12, 2024) The German government ...

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(Aug 14, 2024) US government moves 10,000 Bitcoin

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why they need cash "now" ...

This ain't good
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Gold- Target (Short-term) = $ 2450

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Gold- Short term: Bullish


Calculate the difference between 2 dates

July 31, 2024 (Killing of Ismail Haniyeh)
Aug 14, 2024

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good luck

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Gold-

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so what?!


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He hasn't said "anything new" since December 2023 !!!

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Gold-update

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Gold ;)

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Gold- Aug 9, 2024, Ukraine's incursion into Russia

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Update: Aug 30, 2024

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Gold- Fed rate-cut ... (Aug 30, 2024- the time has come)

See You on 18 September

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Gold- Update ($ 2566)

Short term (to be honest!) ----> technical analysis doesn't work

the reason technical analysis doesn't work

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Gold- (short term) News

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Gold- you see what you see ;)

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Gold- Update

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Gold- Update


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Gold- Update ;)

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Gold-

what I expected (Aug 4, 2024) :

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what actually happened:

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Gold- You see what you want to see ;)

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Gold- Update

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交易結束:目標達成
Gold- Jan 13, 2025 comment

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Update

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******

now

where do we go from here ?

Long term overview (Update)

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Trade active





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Gold- Trade active

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Gold- technical analysis

where's the top?

(decision point =$ 2885)

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Gold

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Gold- have a look

RSI (monthly time frame) = 78.91

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****

I sold at $2880

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Gold- Short

Structure = Flat (Wave C)
Wave C = 100%, or 123.6% of Wave B
Target= $ 2833

Sell Signal = $ 2820 (I'm looking for a test (and a Re-test) of the 2820 level)

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Gold-

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Gold-

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Gold- United States Wages ...


back in 2000, the minimum wage was 256 ounces of gold per year

2011 ----> the minimum wage was 43 ounces of gold per year

2024 ----> the minimum wage was 27 ounces of gold per year


workers have lost purchasing power


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Gold-

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Gold-

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Gold- a short-term top is in place

-2%

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Gold

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Gold- Short term

short
Target (Support) = $ 2855

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Gold- The 2016-2025 Bull Market

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Gold- short term

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Gold

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Gold

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Gold- No comment!

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Gold

(decision point =$ 2931)

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Gold- Update

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Gold- Update

Short term

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Is a double top forming?

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Time will tell the tale

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Gold- Red Flag (overbought condition)

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Gold

We will see !


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Gold- the poison will take time to take effect

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Gold- fundamental

Trump said he believed he had the power to end the war in Ukraine, "but today I heard, ‘Oh, well, we weren’t invited.’ Well, you’ve been there for three years.”

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Gold- where's the top?


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Gold-the poison will take time to take effect


we will see
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Gold


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Gold- what is going on?

***

Feb 23, 2025

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Gold

-1%


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Gold- a medium term top is in place

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Gold- fundamental (Neutral)


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Gold- I told you so

-4%

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Gold-

Target-1 =$ 2885
Target-2= $ 2800

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Gold- fundamental (Bearish)

peace negotiations ... ?

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Gold- Update

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Gold- Wave C

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Gold- Feb 13

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Gold- Update

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Gold- medium term

ZigZag, Wave B (Bull trap) = 78.6% of wave A

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