黃金現貨 / 美元

RIGHT NOW #069 2495-2550-2440

246
This is our complete draft, with 110 points still. Will add notes very soon.
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8:35, Sorry this draft so long, but I have real strong conviction that...
1) the entire move to 2550
2) and then down to 2440 will hit
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10:41 max pain to break next level of vol limits is 2456
- but with a double bottom, over 75 favors 91 next
- that doesn't mean you won't get to 56
- bc it can do 91 then 56
- so under 75 favors directly to 56
- above 75 favors 91-??-56
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- 10:46 AM, 78.19, right now it's 91-??-56
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10:57 AM - 80.70, it's actually 92.5-??-56
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a) the question marks mean there is one move that is missing
b) so the rally ending at 2531, is missing a move
c) that move up to the point when I covered 86 for 85 long, was favored to be 2545+
d) price is off 60 from the 2531 high
e) so odds do not favor that "missing move" to be 2545+
f) 92.5 MAYBE OK, but I don't know that so it's still
g) 92-??-56
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12:13, so here is general audience draft for next one:
RIGHT NOW, #070 Trend Mean Reversion.

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