TOP 10 Stats of the Current Gold Bull Market in 2025 and Outlook

3 天前

📊 Top 10 Stats of the Current Gold Bull Market (2025)
1. 🥇 Gold price per ounce: Around $3,338–$3,364, with a recent all-time high above $3,500 in April 2025
2. 📈 Year-to-date gain: About +29% in 2025 so far, after a +30% gain in 2024
3. 🏦 Central bank buying: More than 1,000 tonnes bought for the fourth straight year, reserves near record levels
4. 🔒 Inflation hedge: Strong inverse correlation with real yields; high demand driven by inflation and geopolitical worries
5. 📊 Gold vs S&P 500: Both reached new highs together; gold is up about 27% YTD while the S&P 500 is up only around 2%
6. 💍 Jewellery demand: Global gold jewelry demand is down about 9% in 2024, projected to drop another 16% in 2025 due to high prices
7. ⚖️ Gold-to-silver ratio: Now around 94, down from a peak of 105—showing silver is regaining ground
8. 🏅 Record closes: More than 40 record daily closes for gold in 2025, prices consolidating around $3,290–$3,400
9. 🏛️ Technical breakout: Broke out of a 13-year “cup-and-handle” technical pattern in March 2024
10. 🔮 2025 forecasts: Predictions range from $3,600–$4,000 by Q2 2026, with some expecting as high as $4,500 if risks rise
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🔄 How This Gold Bull Market Compares to Past Bull Markets
1️⃣ 1968–1980 Super Bull
• 🕰️ Gold climbed from ~$35 to ~$850, a massive 2,330% gain over 12 years
• 🔥 Driven by double-digit inflation, end of the gold standard, and political turmoil
• ⚠️ Huge corrections, including a nearly 45% drop in 1974–76, but rapid rebounds
2️⃣ 1999–2008 Bull Market
• 💹 Gold surged from ~$252 to ~$1,023 (about +305%) in 9 years
• 🚀 Fueled by the commodities supercycle and concerns about global imbalances
• 📉 Big correction during the 2008 financial crisis, but gold rebounded fast
3️⃣ 2018–2025 (Current Cycle)
• ⏳ Gold broke out in 2024 from a 13-year sideways base
• 💥 Up nearly 200% from the 2018 lows to over $3,500
• 🏦 Central banks are the biggest buyers, unlike earlier cycles
• 🛡️ Corrections have been milder—2022 saw only a 20% drop
• 🏃‍♂️ Fast recovery: new highs reached within months, not years
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📊 Quick Comparison Table
Metric 1968–80 Super Bull 1999–2008 Bull 2018–2025 Current
🚀 Total Gain ~2,330% ~305% ~200% so far
⏲️ Length 12 years 9 years 7 years so far
💔 Biggest Drawdown –45% (1974–76) –30% (2008) –20% (2022)
🏦 Central Bank Role Moderate Emerging Dominant
📉 Correction Speed Years to recover 4 years Months
🏛️ Technical Pattern Secular breakout Multiple peaks Broke 13-yr base
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🧭 What Makes the Current Bull Market Unique
• 🏦 Central banks are setting the pace with record-breaking demand
• 🩹 Corrections are less severe and recoveries are quicker
• 📈 Gold is rallying alongside stocks, which is rare historically
• 🏛️ The breakout from a 13-year consolidation signals strong structural support
• 🔮 Major forecasts predict further highs through 2026, suggesting this may become one of the strongest cycles ever

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