Fed Rate Decision: Gold's 3,400 Threshold as Bull-Bear Divide

6月18日

Today, the market has consolidated in a range throughout the day, with neither price direction nor volatility breaking through the range. However, our trading approach proved accurate: short positions were initiated near 3,400 during rebounds, and long positions were entered near the key level of 3,370 during pullbacks. Investors following our strategy have achieved profits from both directions. With limited price movement currently, the Fed's interest rate decision due to land in an hour will become the core variable dominating the market trend for the rest of the month.

Currently, gold prices continue to trade below the 3,400 threshold, maintaining a weak market structure. The 3,400 level serves as a key watershed between bulls and bears, and the validity of its breakthrough will determine the trend inflection point: if prices effectively hold above 3,400 after the data release, it indicates that gold will break out of its weak pattern, with the potential for an accelerated rally ahead. Conversely, if prices remain suppressed below 3,400, it is highly likely to trigger further downward exploration. It is recommended to closely monitor the breakthrough signal at the 3,400 threshold after the data release, using this as the operational basis for trend switching.

XAUUSD
buy@3370-3380
tp:3400-3420-3450

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6月18日

交易進行

Federal Reserve Chair Powell said at a press conference that given the current inflation situation, monetary policy still needs to impose some restrictions on the economy. The current interest rate level is not very high. The current policy can be described as moderately or moderately tight, and now it may be more inclined to a "moderately restrictive" one. He added: "If you look at the current economic performance, you will find that it does not seem to be experiencing a'very tight monetary policy'."

6月19日

交易結束：目標達成

On Thursday, gold rebounded again after testing the bottom, hitting a low of 3,347 and rebounding to 3,370 so far. The repeated swings over many days have raised our expectations for the market. The rebound after the breakdown was undoubtedly a counterattack from the bulls. Since the decline on Monday, the small doji star on Tuesday has served as a signal of the bulls-bears tug-of-war.

From a 4-hour chart analysis, support below focuses on the 3,340–3,345 area, while short-term resistance above lies at the 3,380–3,385 threshold. The key focus is the 3,405–3,415 resistance zone. Within this range, the main strategy of buying low and selling high in a cyclic manner remains unchanged. In intermediate price zones, it is advisable to stay on the sidelines, avoid chasing orders, and wait patiently for key levels to enter trades.