黃金現貨 / 美元
看空

Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you

131
First, geopolitical dynamics significantly impact gold prices. When Trump announced a comprehensive ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, tensions in the Middle East eased substantially, causing a rapid cooling of market risk aversion. As gold has long been a favored safe-haven asset, reduced market panic directly diminished demand for gold, triggering price declines. However, the Middle East situation remains highly volatile, and the ceasefire's sustainability is uncertain. If conflicts resume, risk aversion will surge, likely driving gold prices higher.

Secondly, Federal Reserve policy trends cannot be overlooked. Fed officials have signaled hawkishness, implying only two rate cuts totaling 50 basis points in 2025—some members even doubt any cuts will occur. This stance pushed the U.S. Dollar Index above 99.6. Since gold is priced in U.S. dollars, a stronger dollar exerts downward pressure on gold prices. Additionally, rising real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, prompting investors to favor interest-yielding assets over gold, further prices.

Technically, gold’s breakdown below the key $3,360 support level triggered stop-loss orders in programmatic trading, leading to a "long liquidation cascade" as panic selling accelerated declines. However, after consecutive drops, stabilizing signals have emerged at key levels. For instance, the daily chart shows critical psychological and technical support near $3,300. The 4-hour chart features a long lower shadow from a recent low and three consecutive green candles, indicating buying support at lower levels.

Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you

XAUUSD sell@3350~3340
SL:3360
TP:3330~3320

免責聲明

這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。