XAU/Gold integrated into the George Tritch 1872 prediction chart

2023年10月22日

Periods when to make money according to George Tritch 1872 integrated into the XAU (Gold) chart. The periodicity prediction chart itself is included into the price chart of XAU / Gold.

2023年10月22日

註釋

A Centuries-Old Perspective on Gold Prices

Navigating the complex world of financial markets can be a daunting task, especially for those new to investing. In this intricate landscape, historical models such as George Tritch's "Periods When to Make Money" offer valuable insights into market fluctuations.

But what exactly is this model, and does it remain relevant in today's ever-evolving financial markets?

Unpacking Tritch's "Periods When to Make Money"

Tritch's chart utilizes a three-tiered system (A, B, C) to identify distinct phases within market cycles:

Category A: These periods symbolize panic and trend reversals, marking the beginning of a bearish trend.
Category B: Representing peak market times, these are ideal for selling assets at high prices.
Category C: Signifying times of low prices, this is the best time to buy assets, marking the onset of a bull market.

Tritch's model proposes a cyclical recurrence in these categories, with varying durations for each cycle. However, what's truly intriguing is Tritch's explanation of this cyclicality.

The peak of the market cycle (Category A) occurs every 16/18/20 years.
The midpoint of the cycle (Category B) repeats every 8/9/10 years.
The bottom of the cycle (Category C) is characterized by 3–6 / 2–5 / 4–7 year cycles.

The Controversial Element of Financial Astrology: Tritch attributed these market cycles to planetary influences, aligning with the principles of financial astrology or astro-economics. However, this approach lacks scientific validation and remains largely unaccepted by mainstream financial analysts.

Is Tritch's Model Reliable?

Despite its captivating premise, Tritch's model, like any predictive tool, should be approached with caution. Market dynamics are influenced by a multitude of factors, many of which are neither cyclical nor predictable. While Tritch's chart has reportedly demonstrated high accuracy in the past, it's crucial to remember that past performance does not reliably predict future outcomes.

In conclusion, Tritch's chart may pique the interest of investors seeking guidance in times of financial uncertainty. However, prudent investing requires comprehensive research on assets, awareness of broader market trends, and an understanding of one's own risk tolerance and investment goals.

As the wise Warren Buffet once advised, "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

As we move forward into 2023, let's closely monitor the behavior of the market in the years to come and see if Tritch's model stands the test of time.