Trading Guide for Long-Short Game under Oscillating Pressure

I. Yesterday's Market Performance and Trend
Yesterday, the price of gold exhibited a "V-shaped" oscillation pattern. In the morning session, it faced selling pressure around $3,380 and declined to a low of $3,347. Subsequently, it rebounded and returned to the trading range of $3,360 - $3,375. On the daily chart, it closed with a doji star, and trading volume contracted, indicating a stalemate between bulls and bears and the entry into a narrow trading range.

II. Outlook for Today's Weekly Close
As today marks the end of the weekly trading cycle, there are no clear factors driving a unidirectional trend. Key macroeconomic data has not been released yet, and the market remains divided on the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy. Technically, the daily moving averages have flattened out, and the Bollinger Bands have narrowed, suggesting that the consolidation pattern is likely to persist.

III. Technical Analysis of the 4-Hour Timeframe
In the 4-hour timeframe, the price of gold has been trading below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. The MACD has formed a bearish crossover below the zero line, with the green bars expanding. It has also broken below the upward trend line. The support level at $3,340 is now under threat. With a weak RSI, the market is expected to move lower in a volatile manner.

IV. Trading Strategies
Focus on Short Positions: Initiate small - scale short positions when bearish K - line patterns appear around $3,360, with a stop - loss set at $3,375 and a target price of $3,340. Consider adding to short positions if the price drops below $3,365, with a stop - loss at $3,380 and targets at $3,350 - $3,340. Supplement with Long Positions: Open small long positions if the price stabilizes at $3,340, with a stop - loss at $3,330 and a target price of $3,355. Add to long positions if bullish patterns emerge at the strong support level of $3,315, with a stop - loss at $3,300 and targets at $3,330 - $3,340.

Pay close attention to the release of the US initial jobless claims data in the evening. Limit each position to no more than 10% of the total capital and strictly adhere to stop - loss and take - profit levels.

XAUUSD
sell@3360-3370
tp:3350-3340

buy@3335-3345
tp:3355-3365


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