Is oil signalling a recession?

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Oil has really started to free fall.

The death cross on the daily chart has occurred. this is where the 50 MA intersects with the 200 MA in a downtrend.

This often implies more downside to the medium and long term but is often a great short term long signal.

Usually when you get this signal the market makers bounce the stock or commodity a bit before taking it lower.

We are hitting a massive multi year trend line going back to 2022 that should act as some support.

XLE looks ready for 1 more down leg before a swing tradable low is in.

Energy does have a tendency to fall precipitously so understanding oil can keep falling if investors fear the worst or a recession.



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