Brick Wall Ahead? Bonds Grind Into Bearish Fade Zone

ZB has rallied straight into a triple-confluence zone that screams fade risk. We’re stacked beneath a key trend line, sitting inside layered supply, and printing a textbook lower high. This isn’t a breakout, it’s a test.

Bearish Confluences in Play:
- Macro Downtrend Intact – Still printing LHs/LLs

- Descending Trend line – Untouched, respected for weeks

- Stacked Supply Zones – Multiple rejection layers between 113.70–114.10

- Shallow Demand Bounce – No real momentum from bulls

- Clean Risk Parameters – Defined structure with clear invalidation

It’s everything you want in a measured swing short.

Confluence Breakdown:
- Bearish Market Structure - Strong 25%
- Trend line Resistance - Strong 20%
- Supply Zone Stack - Strong 20%
- Weak Demand Reaction - Moderate 10%
- Volume Profile Gap Below - Moderate 8%
- Estimated Rejection Probability - 78%

We don’t predict we prepare. And this setup is worth being ready for.

Trade Plan (Short)
Entry Zone: 113.70 – 114.10
(Supply zone + trend line resistance)

Stop Loss:
Tight SL: 114.20
Safe SL: 114.50 (above structure)

Targets:
- TP1: 112.50
- TP2: 111.90
- TP3: 110.80

Optional: Trail below TP2 if momentum kicks in.

Invalidation Plan
A clean break and hold above 114.50 invalidates the short bias. If price reclaims that zone and retests it cleanly, bulls take control.

Summary:
We’re at a high-probability inflection point. The structure favours downside. The risk is defined. The trend line hasn’t broken. The supply is real. This is a classic “short the rally” swing setup not a scalp, not a guess, not a gamble. Just smart structure-based positioning with confluence on its side.