OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
已更新 Daily Manipulation Probability Dashboard
📜 Summary
Tired of getting stopped out on a "Judas Swing" just before the price moves in your intended direction? This indicator is designed to give you a statistical edge by quantifying the daily manipulation move.
The Daily Manipulation Probability Dashboard analyzes thousands of historical trading days to reveal the probability of the initial "stop-hunt" or "fakeout" move reaching certain percentage levels. It presents this data in a clean, intuitive dashboard right on your chart, helping you make more data-driven decisions about stop-loss placement and entry timing.
🧠 The Core Concept
The logic is simple but powerful. For every trading day, we measure two things:
Amplitude Above Open (AAO): The distance price travels up from the daily open (High - Open).
Amplitude Below Open (ABO): The distance price travels down from the daily open (Open - Low).
The indicator defines the "Manipulation" as the smaller of these two moves. The idea is that this smaller move often acts as a liquidity grab to trap traders before the day's primary, larger move ("Distribution") begins.
This tool focuses exclusively on providing deep statistical insight into this crucial manipulation phase.
🛠️ How to Use This Tool
This dashboard is designed to be a practical part of your daily analysis and trade planning.
1. Smarter Stop-Loss Placement
This is the primary use case. The "Prob. (%)" column tells you the historical chance of the manipulation move being at least a certain size.
Example: If the table shows that for EURUSD, the ≥ 0.25% level has a probability of 30%, you can flip this information: there is a 70% probability that the daily manipulation move will be less than 0.25%.
Action: Placing your stop-loss just beyond a level with a low probability gives you a statistically sound buffer against typical stop-hunts.
2. Entry Timing and Patience
The live arrow (→) shows you where the current day's manipulation falls.
Example: If the arrow is pointing at ≥ 0.10% and you know there is a high probability (e.g., 60%) of the manipulation reaching ≥ 0.20%, you might wait for a deeper pullback before entering, anticipating that the "Judas Swing" hasn't completed yet.
3. Assessing Daily Character
Quickly see if the current day's action is unusual. If the manipulation move is already in a very low probability zone (e.g., > 1.00%), it might indicate that your Bias is wrong, or signal a high-volatility day or a potential trend reversal.
📊 Understanding the Dashboard
Ticker: The top-right shows the current symbol you are analyzing.
→ (Arrow): Points to the row that corresponds to the current, live day's manipulation amplitude.
Manip. Level: The percentage threshold being analyzed (e.g., ≥ 0.20%).
Days Analyzed: The raw count of historical days where the manipulation move met or exceeded this level.
Prob. (%): The key statistic. The cumulative probability of the manipulation move being at least the size of the level.
⚙️ Settings
Position: Choose where you want the dashboard to appear on your chart.
Text Size: Adjust the font size for readability.
Max Historical Days to Analyze: Set the number of past daily candles to include in the statistical analysis. A larger number provides a more robust sample size.
I believe this tool provides a unique, data-driven edge for intraday traders across all markets (Forex, Crypto, Stocks, Indices). Your feedback and suggestions are highly welcome!
- traderprimez
Tired of getting stopped out on a "Judas Swing" just before the price moves in your intended direction? This indicator is designed to give you a statistical edge by quantifying the daily manipulation move.
The Daily Manipulation Probability Dashboard analyzes thousands of historical trading days to reveal the probability of the initial "stop-hunt" or "fakeout" move reaching certain percentage levels. It presents this data in a clean, intuitive dashboard right on your chart, helping you make more data-driven decisions about stop-loss placement and entry timing.
🧠 The Core Concept
The logic is simple but powerful. For every trading day, we measure two things:
Amplitude Above Open (AAO): The distance price travels up from the daily open (High - Open).
Amplitude Below Open (ABO): The distance price travels down from the daily open (Open - Low).
The indicator defines the "Manipulation" as the smaller of these two moves. The idea is that this smaller move often acts as a liquidity grab to trap traders before the day's primary, larger move ("Distribution") begins.
This tool focuses exclusively on providing deep statistical insight into this crucial manipulation phase.
🛠️ How to Use This Tool
This dashboard is designed to be a practical part of your daily analysis and trade planning.
1. Smarter Stop-Loss Placement
This is the primary use case. The "Prob. (%)" column tells you the historical chance of the manipulation move being at least a certain size.
Example: If the table shows that for EURUSD, the ≥ 0.25% level has a probability of 30%, you can flip this information: there is a 70% probability that the daily manipulation move will be less than 0.25%.
Action: Placing your stop-loss just beyond a level with a low probability gives you a statistically sound buffer against typical stop-hunts.
2. Entry Timing and Patience
The live arrow (→) shows you where the current day's manipulation falls.
Example: If the arrow is pointing at ≥ 0.10% and you know there is a high probability (e.g., 60%) of the manipulation reaching ≥ 0.20%, you might wait for a deeper pullback before entering, anticipating that the "Judas Swing" hasn't completed yet.
3. Assessing Daily Character
Quickly see if the current day's action is unusual. If the manipulation move is already in a very low probability zone (e.g., > 1.00%), it might indicate that your Bias is wrong, or signal a high-volatility day or a potential trend reversal.
📊 Understanding the Dashboard
Ticker: The top-right shows the current symbol you are analyzing.
→ (Arrow): Points to the row that corresponds to the current, live day's manipulation amplitude.
Manip. Level: The percentage threshold being analyzed (e.g., ≥ 0.20%).
Days Analyzed: The raw count of historical days where the manipulation move met or exceeded this level.
Prob. (%): The key statistic. The cumulative probability of the manipulation move being at least the size of the level.
⚙️ Settings
Position: Choose where you want the dashboard to appear on your chart.
Text Size: Adjust the font size for readability.
Max Historical Days to Analyze: Set the number of past daily candles to include in the statistical analysis. A larger number provides a more robust sample size.
I believe this tool provides a unique, data-driven edge for intraday traders across all markets (Forex, Crypto, Stocks, Indices). Your feedback and suggestions are highly welcome!
- traderprimez
發行說明
- Visual tweaks發行說明
- Added Intrday Visualizations of Daily Manipulations發行說明
- Visual tweaks發行說明
- added Manipulation zone and stats for current developing day發行說明
- added visual text percentages for Manipulation zones發行說明
- added an option to show/hide the table- added an option to show/hide the manipulation zones
- added an option to show daily candle on instraday timeframes (thanks to fadizeidan )
發行說明
- added probability text besides manipulaiton zone text發行說明
- Visual tweaks發行說明
Release Notes:- fixed a critical bug causing run-time error on Lower timeframes
發行說明
- Label position adjusted發行說明
- visual tweaks發行說明
Release Notes:- Visual tweaks
發行說明
- added separate toggles for zones and statistics labels 開源腳本
本著TradingView的真正精神，此腳本的創建者將其開源，以便交易者可以查看和驗證其功能。向作者致敬！雖然您可以免費使用它，但請記住，重新發佈程式碼必須遵守我們的網站規則。
creator of The Oracle 👁️ - practitioner of the binary method. Join Discord: discord.gg/ZxVt7zJDfY
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。
開源腳本
本著TradingView的真正精神，此腳本的創建者將其開源，以便交易者可以查看和驗證其功能。向作者致敬！雖然您可以免費使用它，但請記住，重新發佈程式碼必須遵守我們的網站規則。
creator of The Oracle 👁️ - practitioner of the binary method. Join Discord: discord.gg/ZxVt7zJDfY
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。