OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Bitcoin Cost Of Production

Description
This indicator estimates a Bitcoin “Cost Floor” proxy using network difficulty as a substitute for direct energy costs. The goal is not to compute real-world mining costs, but to display a structural cost-pressure baseline derived from on-chain and market data.
The model is intentionally simple and uses two externally fitted parameters (alpha, k).
No fitting is performed inside Pine.
How the model works
The cost proxy is defined as:
Cost Floor = alpha ⋅ Difficulty^k / Issuance
Inputs:
• Difficulty (GLASSNODE:BTC_DIFFICULTY)
• Issuance = Subsidy ⋅ Blocks Mined + Fees_BTC
Parameters (fitted externally in Python):
• alpha: scaling factor to map the proxy into price space (USD).
• k: damping exponent on difficulty. This reduces the sensitivity of the model to long-term technological progress and efficiency gains in mining hardware.
What the indicator displays
• Smoothed Cost Floor (purple)
• Cost Zone (purple zone): Cost × 1.2
• Raw Cost Floor (yellow, optional)
How to use it
This is not a timing tool. It provides a macro context for where price trades relative to a difficulty/issuance-based cost-pressure proxy.
It may be useful for:
• cycle context (stress vs relief regimes)
• comparing price drawdowns against a structural baseline
• studying long-term support behavior during miner stress phases
Important notes
• This indicator does not repaint.
• This script is designed only for INDEX:BTCUSD.
• It does not provide trading signals or financial advice.
This indicator estimates a Bitcoin “Cost Floor” proxy using network difficulty as a substitute for direct energy costs. The goal is not to compute real-world mining costs, but to display a structural cost-pressure baseline derived from on-chain and market data.
The model is intentionally simple and uses two externally fitted parameters (alpha, k).
No fitting is performed inside Pine.
How the model works
The cost proxy is defined as:
Cost Floor = alpha ⋅ Difficulty^k / Issuance
Inputs:
• Difficulty (GLASSNODE:BTC_DIFFICULTY)
• Issuance = Subsidy ⋅ Blocks Mined + Fees_BTC
Parameters (fitted externally in Python):
• alpha: scaling factor to map the proxy into price space (USD).
• k: damping exponent on difficulty. This reduces the sensitivity of the model to long-term technological progress and efficiency gains in mining hardware.
What the indicator displays
• Smoothed Cost Floor (purple)
• Cost Zone (purple zone): Cost × 1.2
• Raw Cost Floor (yellow, optional)
How to use it
This is not a timing tool. It provides a macro context for where price trades relative to a difficulty/issuance-based cost-pressure proxy.
It may be useful for:
• cycle context (stress vs relief regimes)
• comparing price drawdowns against a structural baseline
• studying long-term support behavior during miner stress phases
Important notes
• This indicator does not repaint.
• This script is designed only for INDEX:BTCUSD.
• It does not provide trading signals or financial advice.
開源腳本
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免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並非旨在提供,也不構成TradingView提供或認可的任何形式的財務、投資、交易或其他類型的建議或推薦。請閱讀使用條款以了解更多資訊。
開源腳本
秉持TradingView一貫精神,這個腳本的創作者將其設為開源,以便交易者檢視並驗證其功能。向作者致敬!您可以免費使用此腳本,但請注意,重新發佈代碼需遵守我們的社群規範。
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並非旨在提供,也不構成TradingView提供或認可的任何形式的財務、投資、交易或其他類型的建議或推薦。請閱讀使用條款以了解更多資訊。