ETH OHLC by tncylyv

ETH OHLC Projection Levels

📜 Indicator Description
This indicator projects key potential price levels for Ethereum (ETH) based on its historical price behavior. Using the opening price of a user-selected timeframe (4H, 1D, or 1W) as a baseline, it calculates and displays statistically-derived levels for potential "Manipulation" and "Distribution" phases of price action.
These projections are designed to provide traders with potential zones of interest for support, resistance, stop-loss placement, and take-profit targets for the current trading period.
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🧠 Core Concepts Explained
The indicator is built on two key concepts derived from candlestick analysis:
• Manipulation: This represents the initial price movement that occurs against the candle's eventual primary direction.
o For a bullish candle, it's the extent of the lower wick (the move from Open down to Low).
o For a bearish candle, it's the extent of the upper wick (the move from Open up to High).
o The "M" levels on the chart project the average (mean and median) historical size of this manipulation wick, suggesting potential areas for liquidity grabs or stop hunts.
• Distribution: This represents the primary price movement in the direction of the candle's trend.
o For a bullish candle, it's the total move from Open to High.
o For a bearish candle, it's the total move from Open to Low.
o The "D" levels project the average (mean and median) historical range of this price expansion, suggesting potential targets for the period.
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📊 Data & Methodology
It is important to note that the statistical ratios used for the projections are not calculated in real-time by the indicator itself.
These values have been pre-calculated through an extensive historical analysis performed in Python. The analysis used the complete historical ETH/USD price data from the Coinbase exchange to determine the mean and median ratios for both manipulation and distribution across the different timeframes. The resulting fixed values are then hard-coded into the script to ensure performance and consistency.
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⚙️ How to Use It
At the beginning of each new period (e.g., at the start of a new day on the 1D timeframe), the indicator will draw a new set of horizontal lines and zones based on that period's opening price.
• The central dotted line represents the Opening Price for the selected timeframe.
• Manipulation Levels (+M / -M): These inner levels can be interpreted as potential reversal zones. Price may test these areas to trigger stops before moving in the primary direction for the session.
• Distribution Levels (+D / -D): These outer levels can be used as potential take-profit targets, representing the average historical price extension for a period.
• Mean vs. Median Zones: The script plots levels based on both the historical mean (average) and median (middle value). The shaded area between them creates a zone rather than a single price line, offering a more practical range for analysis.
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🛠️ Settings and Features
• Projection Timeframe: Select the primary timeframe for the analysis (4H, 1D, or 1W). The historical data used for projections is specific to the chosen timeframe.
• Historical Periods to Show: Adjust how many past periods of data you want to see on your chart. A value of 1 will only show the projections for the current, active period.
• Timezone (UTC-4): The 4H calculations are based on a fixed UTC-4 timezone to align with specific, high-volume market sessions (e.g., New York open). This is not changeable to ensure data consistency.
• Visual Customization: You have full control over the appearance of the indicator.
o Toggle the visibility, colors, and line styles for the Open price line and each of the Manipulation/Distribution levels using their respective checkboxes and inputs.
o Enable or disable the shaded fills between the mean and median levels.
o Tip: To quickly hide all price labels at once, edit the "Label Color" setting and set its opacity to 100% (fully transparent).