Variance and Moving Averages Strategy

The Variance and Moving Averages Strategy is a long-only trend-following system that combines volatility filtering with classic moving-average signals. It computes 5-, 15-, and 30-period simple moving averages (MA5, MA15, MA30) to identify a clear uptrend (MA5 > MA15 > MA30) and only enters when recent price variance (measured over the past 30 bars as the variance of (high–low)/close) is very low—avoiding choppy or noisy conditions. Once in a position, it employs a dual exit: a trend-based stop-loss (closing when MA5 falls below MA30) and a volatility-based take-profit (exiting when variance spikes above a high threshold), thus “buying low-volatility breakouts” and “selling on trend reversal or volatility expansion.”