Simple backtesting strategy for the quantitative indicator Autocorrelation Price Forecasting. This is a Buy & Sell strategy that operates exclusively with long orders. It opens long positions and generates profit based on the future price forecast provided by the indicator. It's particularly suitable for trend-following trading strategies or directional markets with an established trend.
Main functions 1. Cycle Detection: Utilize autocorrelation to identify repetitive market behaviors and cycles. 2. Forecasting for Backtesting: Simulate trades and assess the profitability of various strategies based on future price predictions.
Logic The strategy works as follow: Entry Condition: Go long if the hypothetical gain exceeds the threshold gain (configurable by user interface). Position Management: Sets a take-profit level based on the future price. Position Sizing: Automatically calculates the order size as a percentage of the equity. No Stop-Loss: this strategy doesn't includes any stop loss.
Example Use Case
A trader analyzes a dayli period using 7 historical bars for autocorrelation.
Sets a threshold gain of 20 points using a 5% of the equity for each trade.
Evaluates the effectiveness of a long-only strategy in this period to assess its profitability and risk-adjusted performance.
User Interface Length: Set the length of the data used in the autocorrelation price forecasting model. Thresold Gain: Minimum value to be considered for opening trades based on future price forecast. Order Size: percentage size of the equity used for each single trade.
Strategy Limit This strategy does not use a stop loss. If the price continues to drop and the future price forecast is incorrect, the trader may incur a loss or have their capital locked in the losing trade.
Disclaimer! This is a simple template. Use the code as a starting point rather than a finished solution. The script does not include important parameters, so use it solely for educational purposes or as a boilerplate.